Jihadi Terrorism in Europe: The IS-Effect

Author
Nesser, Petter
Stenersen, Anne
Oftedal, Emilie
Date Issued
2016
Keywords
Terrorisme
Jihad
Islamisme
Permalink
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12242/617
https://publications.ffi.no/123456789/617
http://www.terrorismanalysts.com/pt/index.php/pot/article/view/553
Collection
Articles
Description
Nesser, Petter; Stenersen, Anne; Oftedal, Emilie. Jihadi Terrorism in Europe: The IS-Effect. Perspectives on Terrorism 2016 ;Volum 10.(6)
1409482.pdf
Size: 444k
Abstract
The article examines the extent to which Islamic State (IS) has affected jihadi terrorism in Europe. We look at the scope of attack activity, perpetrators and their networks, modus operandi and funding. For all the talk of a new threat we argue that, apart from scope, less is new than most assume. IS wants largely the same as al-Qaida did by attacking Europe. Their tactics are similar and their networks overlap in time and space. The core dynamics of the threat endure. It is premature to talk of a new paradigm in recruitment, but more terrorists are instructed online than before. Patterns in funding remain relatively stable, but there is an increase in plots financed from abroad. Despite military setbacks, IS remains a formidable terrorist actor, with territorial control, economic muscle and thousands of Europeans in its ranks. These things, combined with the group’s skillful social media usage, are exhausting European security services’ capacities. So is the refugee situation, which is exploited by IS to transfer personnel. If IS’s territorial control persists, we foresee attempts at large-scale operations, including attempts at using improvised chemical or radiological devices. If IS continues to lose ground, small-scale attacks by single actors will become even more frequent.
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